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those, of course, are iowa and nevada. the "real clear politics" polling average in iowa right now shows president obama ahead by two and in nevada president obama ahead by 2.7. then later in the night at 11:00 p.m. and then 1:00 a.m., we'll have california, hawaii, idaho, oregon, washington, and then the last poll closing in alaska. unless this is a very strange night, those races will be interesting for governors races and senate and house races and state issues, but not necessarily for the presidency. unless things go very, very differently than expected to go. this is how your election viewing is going to unfold hour by hour on tuesday night. if you just exclude the states for the presidential race where everybody pretty much knows exactly how it's going to go and just the states where there is some question as to what's going to happen, here is a clip and save thing for you about these states. the battlegrounds. all right? states that you know are going to be important and everybody thinks they're going to be close. t
those, of course, are iowa and nevada. the "real clear politics" polling average in iowa right now shows president obama ahead by two and in nevada president obama ahead by 2.7. then later in the night at 11:00 p.m. and then 1:00 a.m., we'll have california, hawaii, idaho, oregon, washington, and then the last poll closing in alaska. unless this is a very strange night, those races will be interesting for governors races and senate and house races and state issues, but not necessarily...
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president obama jumped all over the place from wisconsin to nevada, to colorado. both candidates are making their closing arguments. interesting. a closing argument. what is mitt romney's closing argument? his latest incarnation is that he's the guy who reaches across the aisle? >> we have to stop the dividing and the attacking and the demonizing. we've got to reach across the aisle, bring in good democrats with good republicans and finally do the people's business and put the politics behind. >> we just need to stop demonizing, don't we? well, old mittster, show leadership and pick up the phone and call mitch mcconnell. it's interesting for mitt romney to present himself as a guy who works across the aisle while president obama is being label by the tea partyers and everybody else in the right wing as nothing but the divider in chief. romney might want to pick up the phone, you know, give this guy a call, keynote speaker of the republican convention. governor christie spent the last four days praising the president of the united states in his partnership in storm
president obama jumped all over the place from wisconsin to nevada, to colorado. both candidates are making their closing arguments. interesting. a closing argument. what is mitt romney's closing argument? his latest incarnation is that he's the guy who reaches across the aisle? >> we have to stop the dividing and the attacking and the demonizing. we've got to reach across the aisle, bring in good democrats with good republicans and finally do the people's business and put the politics...
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let's say florida and michigan and ohio and nevada and the list goes on. >> what are the chances of the sportscaster guy asking him a tough fema question on monday if he doesn't? >> i would say near zero. and the tax return questions i guess, he is probably not going to get from the sportscaster. >> it is the place to go. it is the place where you can have a simulation of an inner view without getting any of the questions. when you build a campaign on distraction it becomes more difficult. it is not new that the politicians try to control the encounters. what we have learned though, he does it more often with more severity than any one one else. there is a pool and that is a group of reporters that go to everything. and they issue pool reports as you well know from your time in politics. mitt romney tried to cut reporters in the pool out of covering his fundraisers. there was such disastrous push back from the press that they had to walk that back. what was that about? it was weird. no republican had tried to do that. now, when they see the types of things that they said. it is wrong. >
let's say florida and michigan and ohio and nevada and the list goes on. >> what are the chances of the sportscaster guy asking him a tough fema question on monday if he doesn't? >> i would say near zero. and the tax return questions i guess, he is probably not going to get from the sportscaster. >> it is the place to go. it is the place where you can have a simulation of an inner view without getting any of the questions. when you build a campaign on distraction it becomes...
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he's spending a bunch of time in the firewall states like nevada and wisconsin and iowa. that's the way that he holds on even if romney somehow runs the table in florida, virginia, and ohio. if he can hold those other states, he can still win. >> chuck, you go along with that? >> i do. >> we need virginia and florida? >> i have been trying -- the sunday romney schedule had been in the dark. they had set it up. here is the sunday schedule. we just got it. iowa, ohio, pennsylvania, and virginia. now -- >> pennsylvania, they got a chance there? yes. is it likely? >> feels like they're looking for more paths and more opportunities. they basically failed to expand the map early. they're hoping maybe hope upon hope that they steal a state late, that somehow they could scramble the whole thing up with pennsylvania. the fact is they're close in pennsylvania, but it's lucy and the football close. >> there's a lot of work to be done by the democrats in southeastern pennsylvania. >> they do have work to do in western pennsylvania. there's a whole bunch of democratic -- your friend m
he's spending a bunch of time in the firewall states like nevada and wisconsin and iowa. that's the way that he holds on even if romney somehow runs the table in florida, virginia, and ohio. if he can hold those other states, he can still win. >> chuck, you go along with that? >> i do. >> we need virginia and florida? >> i have been trying -- the sunday romney schedule had been in the dark. they had set it up. here is the sunday schedule. we just got it. iowa, ohio,...
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odd and interesting about this is the three states with the worst unemployment levels, california, nevada and new jersey are solidly democratic. the whole republican argument that this administration has made things worse clearly is not working in those states where things are, in fact, the worst. in other states like nebraska, kansas, north dakota where there's extremely low employment because of shale gas and agriculture, republicans are winning. it's an interesting dynamic in the election in that respect. the real challenge for any new administrati administration, whether it's president obama or governor romney, is we treat it as a national problem and we have huge varieties between states and education levels and gender. >> let's talk about the psyc psychology of it. are people looking at the numbers and measures how they feel? whatever the case, they're measures how they feel at their home right now. >> absolutely. it's a good media story to talk about the number that changes month to month. oh, my god the unemployment rate is 7.9%. do i have a job that pays enough? do i have several
odd and interesting about this is the three states with the worst unemployment levels, california, nevada and new jersey are solidly democratic. the whole republican argument that this administration has made things worse clearly is not working in those states where things are, in fact, the worst. in other states like nebraska, kansas, north dakota where there's extremely low employment because of shale gas and agriculture, republicans are winning. it's an interesting dynamic in the election in...
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president needs to win just three in order to win a second term to get 271 electoral votes and those are nevada where there are six votes, wisconsin where there are ten and here in ohio, there are 18. and winning just those three of all these battle grounds gets you to 271 in a very narrow win, but that's what would do it for him and they feel very good about those three states. >> assuming they hold pennsylvania. >> that's true. that is a big point right there. >> i think there's a sense that florida might be moving in romney's direction. structurally, that's always been the most problematic of the battleground states for obama. and if i were betting, i would bet romney carries florida. >> and we're hearing from the romney side that there's a bit of a head fake there. >> it may be. what a lot of strategists have told me is if you're going to make a play for a state, you need to do it at least three weeks before election day. so one week out, not even a full week, makes it tough. it might be too little too late for mitt romney where they are spending a lot of money at this last minute. but they
president needs to win just three in order to win a second term to get 271 electoral votes and those are nevada where there are six votes, wisconsin where there are ten and here in ohio, there are 18. and winning just those three of all these battle grounds gets you to 271 in a very narrow win, but that's what would do it for him and they feel very good about those three states. >> assuming they hold pennsylvania. >> that's true. that is a big point right there. >> i think...
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it's their nevada backup and vice versa, if one slips, they want to be able to hold up there. but i'm fascinated by also what romney's done in adding this pennsylvania on sunday. is it a sign of strength, or is it potentially a sign of weakness? is it oh, wait a minute, i'm missing -- is this sort of an on-side kick, hoping you recover it and you've still got to throw the bomb because if you pick off pennsylvania, then you don't have to worry about ohio anymore. and how much of this pennsylvania stop is about that versus a sign of strength? so to me, these candidates' schedules say a lot. the fact that he's spending one less event in ohio and deciding somehow one event in pennsylvania might make a difference, i think it says a lot about where they think ohio is. >> lawrence, if you look at the preponderance of public polls, it matches with what the obama campaign says. small but durable leads. what's the best case if you're the romney campaign from their point of view? say romney can win, what would the public polls and the obama campaign be missing? >> just an overall -- what
it's their nevada backup and vice versa, if one slips, they want to be able to hold up there. but i'm fascinated by also what romney's done in adding this pennsylvania on sunday. is it a sign of strength, or is it potentially a sign of weakness? is it oh, wait a minute, i'm missing -- is this sort of an on-side kick, hoping you recover it and you've still got to throw the bomb because if you pick off pennsylvania, then you don't have to worry about ohio anymore. and how much of this...
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iowa has one and one in nevada, virginia new hampshire and florida. that's all right? is that where you would be telling them to spend -- >> he wins ohio, he wins. i don't see there's any path for romney to win this without ohio. >> jennifer: if romney won everything else -- >> he could win everything else but it makes it almost impossible for him. i would be in ohio. i would be in virginia. i would be in iowa. >> jennifer: would you be in north carolina joe? >> no. >> jennifer: really? >> yeah. >> jennifer: even though early voting is -- what about florida? >> no. i would spend more time -- >> jennifer: 2 points up. >> you can block -- you know, you force the other campaign to spend money. you keep it tight and it is a chance -- there's absolutely no way he can get florida. >> the thing about this race which i've never seen before in the five presidential races i've worked on, there's more money than god. you can put it anywhere. $3 billion so who cares where you put it. you can put it anywhere. >> jennifer: romney is spending money in minnesota and other places sayin
iowa has one and one in nevada, virginia new hampshire and florida. that's all right? is that where you would be telling them to spend -- >> he wins ohio, he wins. i don't see there's any path for romney to win this without ohio. >> jennifer: if romney won everything else -- >> he could win everything else but it makes it almost impossible for him. i would be in ohio. i would be in virginia. i would be in iowa. >> jennifer: would you be in north carolina joe? >>...
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only the president will visit nevada and florida. >> back in the bay area the murder of a business owner in oakland is prompting a promise from the police chief. the man known as mr. marcus was shot and killed last night at his cellular store on international boulevard. how neighbors are remembering a man known as a leader in the community. >> reporter: disbelief that someone killed a man who gave so much to a community that has so little. >> he was always giving the kids raider tickets. kids would come in if they were hungry he would give them money to feed them. >> it's such a sad sad moment. not because of just what they've taken from us but what they've taken from everyone else. my father was an amazing man. >> reporter: the police chief and the victim's family spoke out this afternoon asking witnesses to speak up and help solve the senseless killing. >> i'm personally saddened by this very senseless act of violence. i pledge to this family and this community we will pour as many resources as we can into finding the killer. >> reporter: police say someone robbed wilbur bartley as he
only the president will visit nevada and florida. >> back in the bay area the murder of a business owner in oakland is prompting a promise from the police chief. the man known as mr. marcus was shot and killed last night at his cellular store on international boulevard. how neighbors are remembering a man known as a leader in the community. >> reporter: disbelief that someone killed a man who gave so much to a community that has so little. >> he was always giving the kids...
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don't forget, president obama is closer than he wants to be in a lot of places: colorado, nevada, nevada should have been tucked away a while ago. >> wisconsin even. >> wisconsin. and so the fact that he is returning to these places again and again and again, they'll say we're doing everything we can, of course we're going to fight to the end. but it's more than that.s it's a sgn that they are not entirely secure. on the aher hand, ohioh is looking stronger for them, a little bit more sioure for them and that's important. >> woodruff: pick up on that,or jonathan. why is ohio still the state that both campaigns are so focused on and spending so much time in? >> because if govnor romney doesn't have ohio he has to effectively draw an r incite strait to get the 270. he has to put gether an array f other states that almost certainly include wisconsin. and i was in wisconsin last week. it's close, president obama's going back to milwaukee and madison here in the coming days but it leans towards president obama. so that's why governor romney is so focused on ohio and for president obama, his c
don't forget, president obama is closer than he wants to be in a lot of places: colorado, nevada, nevada should have been tucked away a while ago. >> wisconsin even. >> wisconsin. and so the fact that he is returning to these places again and again and again, they'll say we're doing everything we can, of course we're going to fight to the end. but it's more than that.s it's a sgn that they are not entirely secure. on the aher hand, ohioh is looking stronger for them, a little bit...
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especially in nevada. nevada's six electoral votes are looking more important than ever and the race there, of course, all the races around the country, tight, very tight. this american research group poll has obama edging romney 49% to 487%. people in nevada say they are starting to see signs of recovery, believe it or not. cnn's miguel marquez picks up the story from high above, high above the las vegas skyline. >> reporter: here we are, top of the stratosphere in vegas, baby. as this county goes, so goes nevada! in a city that fell harder and faster than just about any place in the country. this better be a very close election. the stratosphere, like all vegas, suffered the worst of the recession. at some point you had to make a decision, either go big or stay home and shut down. >> that was sort of the thesis, yeah. >> reporter: the vegas landmark sunk more than $20 million into upgrades including a new restaurant, oh, and that sky jump thing. most importantly, more than 100 new jobs. do you think las
especially in nevada. nevada's six electoral votes are looking more important than ever and the race there, of course, all the races around the country, tight, very tight. this american research group poll has obama edging romney 49% to 487%. people in nevada say they are starting to see signs of recovery, believe it or not. cnn's miguel marquez picks up the story from high above, high above the las vegas skyline. >> reporter: here we are, top of the stratosphere in vegas, baby. as this...
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. >> reporter: finally, we know nevada. that is where republican congressman paul ryan told supporters the federal budget ends det -- and debt are looming threats for the country's future. >> we need to balance this budget. we need to get the debt under control. we have a moral obligation for the children and grandchildren to make sure they get a debt- free nation and not the one the president has in front of them. they will decide who is president the next four years. today on the trail, november 2nd, 2012. we'll bring in mark, our fox 5 political analyst. the job markets out now, they're a step in the right direction. the republicans spinning this is not good enough. how big of a difference can this make this close to the election? >> it didn't hurt the president. 171,000 jobs, that is edition, .1 of 1% unemployment went up. they didn't want to go over 8%. it's a on you wash overra -- awash, overall, he escaped ominous terrible figures. >> talk about independent voters. so much is made about it the last few months. do you
. >> reporter: finally, we know nevada. that is where republican congressman paul ryan told supporters the federal budget ends det -- and debt are looming threats for the country's future. >> we need to balance this budget. we need to get the debt under control. we have a moral obligation for the children and grandchildren to make sure they get a debt- free nation and not the one the president has in front of them. they will decide who is president the next four years. today on the...
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of the stratosphere here in nevada. in a city that fell harder and faster than any place that fell in the country. this better be a very close election. the stratosphere like all of vegas suffered the worst of the recession. >> at some point you had to make a decision to stay home or go big or shutdown? >> yes. >> reporter: they sunk $20 million into upgrades including a new restaurant and the sky-jump thing, and most importantly, more than 100 new jobs. do you think that las vegas is through the worst of it? >> it feels like it. i drive to work everyday and i see stuff going on that i haven't seen in a little while. >> reporter: things like construction and homes being built in places in a place that had the nation's highest foreclosure rate. and they say that the decline and rise in vegas is an entree index. before the recession how many were you doing and now? >> before we were doing 400 and now between 400 and 700. big difference. >> reporter: and comedy icon and clark county icon who does four shows a night in vega
of the stratosphere here in nevada. in a city that fell harder and faster than any place that fell in the country. this better be a very close election. the stratosphere like all of vegas suffered the worst of the recession. >> at some point you had to make a decision to stay home or go big or shutdown? >> yes. >> reporter: they sunk $20 million into upgrades including a new restaurant and the sky-jump thing, and most importantly, more than 100 new jobs. do you think that las...
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eva longoria in nevada. sheila e. she was banging on the drums. we're told on monday he will be in battleground states with jay-z and bruce springstein. you talked about david axelrod saying that are not going to lose michigan and not losing minnesota, not losing pennsylvania. if they do, he will shave off his mustache. new information on the shaving front. today, jay carney showed up to work on air force one without shaving says he is not going to shave between now and election day. superstition. he thinks it will help the president win re-election. we know jay carney will shave after election day. will david axelrod shave after election day? it may help us learn whether or not mr. romney will win or the president >> dana: thank you. good thing when i was press secretary i didn't have such a rule. charming. >> reporter: that is a good thing. >> dana: thanks, ed. god, that is weird. bob, fox news poll came out dead heat, 46-vi. what do you think? >> bob: nationally, most of the polls are starting to converge in a dead heat. below 50%. yesterday, w
eva longoria in nevada. sheila e. she was banging on the drums. we're told on monday he will be in battleground states with jay-z and bruce springstein. you talked about david axelrod saying that are not going to lose michigan and not losing minnesota, not losing pennsylvania. if they do, he will shave off his mustache. new information on the shaving front. today, jay carney showed up to work on air force one without shaving says he is not going to shave between now and election day....
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i want to show you the unemployment rates, nevada, 11.8%. colorado still 8%. wisconsin, ohio, new hampshire, virginia, florida, iowa. look at iowa, 5.2%. it's essentially full employment in iowa but they are concerned about debt, deficit and the quality of jobs you are getting. let's start with the ohio jobless rates. no gop candidate won an election without winning ohio. ohio makes presidents. today, 7% is the unemployment rate, less than when the president took office. that is better than the national average. they have been adding manufacturing jobs. not as many by any stretch of the imagination that they lost. look at florida and the trend of the jobless rate in florida. it's exactly where it was when the president took office. still higher than the national average. it has been coming down. housing is still a major issue here. in virginia, 13 electoral votes, jobless rate is low now. a 5.9% in virginia. but, it's still higher than when the president took office. essentially flat in virginia. it's going to be interesting because superstorm sandy could have
i want to show you the unemployment rates, nevada, 11.8%. colorado still 8%. wisconsin, ohio, new hampshire, virginia, florida, iowa. look at iowa, 5.2%. it's essentially full employment in iowa but they are concerned about debt, deficit and the quality of jobs you are getting. let's start with the ohio jobless rates. no gop candidate won an election without winning ohio. ohio makes presidents. today, 7% is the unemployment rate, less than when the president took office. that is better than the...
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upper 60s nevada and petaluma. and 64 in san francisco. your kron 4 7 day around the bay forecast shows mild conditions in to the weekend it starts to warm up as we start the next work week. sea breeze kicks in by wednesday and thursday we are looking at a 30 percent chance for showers. we will keep monitoring the forecast is 6:50 a.m. on to traffic with robin. >> thank you erica. no major trouble spot to hot spots. we have more cars on the road heading into san francisco. take a look here. at the bay bridge toll plaza like on of a crossing. it does not stretch into the oakland mays. you'll a approach looks good. the nimitz the short 580, 80 moving well. once you get to the toll plaza is a sluggish like getting far to the incline fear it. >> the san mateo bridge overall not met having your volume of traffic in both directions especially westbound no problem from hayward as you make that connection towards foster city. the ride across the golden gate bridge fine. traffic flowing in both directions. a 22 minute drive time from the bottle int
upper 60s nevada and petaluma. and 64 in san francisco. your kron 4 7 day around the bay forecast shows mild conditions in to the weekend it starts to warm up as we start the next work week. sea breeze kicks in by wednesday and thursday we are looking at a 30 percent chance for showers. we will keep monitoring the forecast is 6:50 a.m. on to traffic with robin. >> thank you erica. no major trouble spot to hot spots. we have more cars on the road heading into san francisco. take a look...
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and then when you drill down on specific wing states it differs, some polling of actual vote in nevada and iowa that shows president obama is doing better than mitt romney in those states and those are the states that going to decide the election. >> i think that's because and this is karl rove speaking now not me more democrats ordered voted early than republicans. bret baier will be anchor next tuesday. >> november 6th. >> bill: give you a jump on it for everybody. 19 million. romney ahead by 7% in new york. some of the key swing states the president in the lead. >> right. >> bill: former penn state president graham spanier. >> spanier. >> bill: he is a weasel, right? >> certainly seems so. >> bill: looks that way. he had indications that sandusky was molesting children on the campus of penn state. >> um-huh. >> bill: he did nothing. and now he is charged with? >> perjury, endangering will the welfare of children. conspiracy. failure to report child abuse. this guy spanier in position of power, obviously the president of the university. his story was some dust up with sandusky but i
and then when you drill down on specific wing states it differs, some polling of actual vote in nevada and iowa that shows president obama is doing better than mitt romney in those states and those are the states that going to decide the election. >> i think that's because and this is karl rove speaking now not me more democrats ordered voted early than republicans. bret baier will be anchor next tuesday. >> november 6th. >> bill: give you a jump on it for everybody. 19...
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the rnc learned of numerous cases in nevada. in a letter to election officials, they're asking nevada and five other states to recalibrate all of these machines, have additional technicians on hand and use signs and verbal reminders to make sure ballots are correct. the secretary of state says there is no evidence of any problems. >>> country music's biggest stars gathered in nashville last night for the 46th annual cma awards. hurricane sandy on their mind. >> dedicated to new york, new jersey, all our friends out there on the east coast. >> gretchen: jason aldean kicked off the show with luke brian and eric church. ♪ the only way i know. ♪ ♪ . >> gretchen: big winner of the night, blake shelton. he took home three trophies, including entertainer of the year. he joined keith urban, faith hill and lady antebellum in a tribute to will cree nelson. -- willie nelson. >> eric: i don't see them on the list for the nbc concert. no country stars on there. >> steve: no. >> eric: the other big story this morning, hurricane sandy no
the rnc learned of numerous cases in nevada. in a letter to election officials, they're asking nevada and five other states to recalibrate all of these machines, have additional technicians on hand and use signs and verbal reminders to make sure ballots are correct. the secretary of state says there is no evidence of any problems. >>> country music's biggest stars gathered in nashville last night for the 46th annual cma awards. hurricane sandy on their mind. >> dedicated to new...
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i have been to nevada multiteletimes and colorado. i forget all the other places. went to iowa last week. we have gotten around. we are happy to do t. there is a lot of excitement out there. of course, all over florida in the last week with governor romney. everywhere we go, you can see the excitement. it's real, it's palpable. we can sense. it we are really excited about it. >> greta: this is a big country. i am curious, as you went to the states, was it usually the same issue -- can you tell -- because usually the rallies are speaking to the group. they are not having a profound amount of intersection because you are busy going somewhere else. but is it the same? >> you do. if you work the rope line or you get to talk to people on the ground, they will tell you, there are concerns about the economy and jobs, that's very real. there is a profound sense that the election is a choice between two very different types of people. where the government will increasingly become more dominant or a new future, where we reim-- embrace the free enterprise system and allow the
i have been to nevada multiteletimes and colorado. i forget all the other places. went to iowa last week. we have gotten around. we are happy to do t. there is a lot of excitement out there. of course, all over florida in the last week with governor romney. everywhere we go, you can see the excitement. it's real, it's palpable. we can sense. it we are really excited about it. >> greta: this is a big country. i am curious, as you went to the states, was it usually the same issue -- can you...